Emimlio Juan Brignardello Vela
Emilio Juan Brignardello Vela, asesor de seguros, se especializa en brindar asesoramiento y gestión comercial en el ámbito de seguros y reclamaciones por siniestros para destacadas empresas en el mercado peruano e internacional.
As the global health community looks ahead to 2025, a list of diseases is causing considerable unease among experts, with a focus not just on established pathogens, but also on the looming threat of what has been dubbed "Disease X." This term refers to an unknown infectious agent that has the potential to trigger widespread outbreaks or even a pandemic, much like COVID-19 did in 2019. Notably, recent cases of an undiagnosed disease in the Democratic Republic of Congo have underscored the urgency of preparing for such unknown threats. Dr. Michael Head, a Senior Research Fellow in Global Health at the University of Southampton, has articulated the growing concerns surrounding Disease X. With over 400 recorded cases in DRC recently, accompanied by a significant mortality rate primarily among children, the specter of an unprepared world looms large. The symptoms—fever, headache, body aches, and cough—offer little insight into the pathogen’s nature, exemplifying the unpredictability of emerging diseases. In addition to Disease X, a range of infectious diseases has raised alarms, including measles, cholera, and various mosquito-borne illnesses such as dengue and chikungunya. Measles, a highly contagious viral infection, continues to pose a formidable threat, particularly as vaccination rates decline. The WHO reported over 107,000 deaths due to measles globally in 2023, primarily affecting children under five. Experts emphasize that with proper vaccination coverage, this virus could be eradicated, but current trends are deeply concerning. Cholera, another disease on the radar, is primarily spread through contaminated food and water and can result in rapid dehydration and death if untreated. Climate change and associated forced migration have experts worried that cholera cases could surge again in 2025, echoing historical pandemics. The list doesn't stop there; the potential resurgence of avian influenza, known as bird flu, continues to be a major concern. While the virus mainly affects birds, its ability to mutate raises fears about a possible human pandemic, particularly if it acquires the capability for sustained human-to-human transmission. Adding to the complexity of the public health landscape, antimicrobial resistance is a growing threat that compounds the challenges posed by these infectious diseases. As bacteria evolve to resist treatment, the efficacy of antibiotics is waning, leading to increased mortality rates from common infections. Health officials have cautioned that without appropriate measures, the UK and other regions could see a rise in antibiotic-resistant infections. Moreover, the specter of another COVID-19 outbreak remains present, with new variants such as the XEC variant highlighting the ongoing threat posed by the virus. The UK has reported a rise in cases, and experts believe that vaccine coverage and public health measures remain crucial in mitigating its impact. Mosquito-borne diseases like dengue and chikungunya are also expected to rise, particularly in southern Europe, as changing climates create more favorable conditions for the mosquitoes that transmit these viruses. With millions of cases reported each year, the potential for outbreaks in new regions is increasingly likely. As the world continues to grapple with these multifaceted health threats, experts are urging governments and communities to bolster their preparedness strategies. The lessons learned from the COVID-19 pandemic should serve as a catalyst for preventive measures, emphasizing vaccination, surveillance, and public health infrastructure. The unpredictable nature of disease emergence demands a proactive, rather than reactive, approach to global health. As we approach 2025, the message is clear: vigilance and preparation are key to safeguarding public health against the next potential outbreak.